Market economists' inflation expectations (1 year ahead)
What professional forecasters expect inflation to be in a year.
- Latest
- 3.0%
- Previous
- 3.0%
- Change
- 0.0 pp
- Frequency
- Quarterly
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Market economists' inflation expectations (1 year ahead)
What professional forecasters expect inflation to be in a year.
- Economists, 1 year
- 3.0%
Data table
| Period | Economists, 1 year |
|---|---|
| Sep qtr 2026 | 3.0% |
| Jun qtr 2026 | 3.0% |
| Mar qtr 2026 | 3.0% |
| Dec qtr 2025 | 2.8% |
| Sep qtr 2025 | 2.8% |
| Jun qtr 2025 | 2.8% |
| Mar qtr 2025 | 3.1% |
| Dec qtr 2024 | 3.1% |
| Sep qtr 2024 | 2.7% |
| Jun qtr 2024 | 2.9% |
| Mar qtr 2024 | 3.1% |
| Dec qtr 2023 | 3.2% |
About this indicator
- What it measures
- The median expectation of year-ended inflation one year ahead in the RBA's survey of market economists.
- How it is calculated
- Surveyed and published by the RBA in table G3.
- How to read it
- Shows whether forecasters expect inflation to return to the target band.
- Caveats
- A survey of a small group of forecasters, not market pricing.
- Frequency
- Quarterly
- Typical release
- Quarterly in RBA table G3.
Sources
- Market economists' inflation expectations - 1-year ahead View at the source (opens in a new tab)
Recent observations
Newest first. For a calculated figure, the source value it comes from is shown beside it.
| Period | Economists, 1 year | First recorded here |
|---|---|---|
| Sep qtr 2026 | 3.0% | 20 Oct 2026 |
| Jun qtr 2026 | 3.0% | 20 Oct 2026 |
| Mar qtr 2026 | 3.0% | 20 Oct 2026 |
| Dec qtr 2025 | 2.8% | 20 Oct 2026 |
| Sep qtr 2025 | 2.8% | 20 Oct 2026 |
| Jun qtr 2025 | 2.8% | 20 Oct 2026 |
| Mar qtr 2025 | 3.1% | 20 Oct 2026 |
| Dec qtr 2024 | 3.1% | 20 Oct 2026 |
| Sep qtr 2024 | 2.7% | 20 Oct 2026 |
| Jun qtr 2024 | 2.9% | 20 Oct 2026 |
| Mar qtr 2024 | 3.1% | 20 Oct 2026 |
| Dec qtr 2023 | 3.2% | 20 Oct 2026 |
| Sep qtr 2023 | 3.6% | 20 Oct 2026 |
| Jun qtr 2023 | 3.3% | 20 Oct 2026 |
| Mar qtr 2023 | 4.0% | 20 Oct 2026 |
| Dec qtr 2022 | 3.8% | 20 Oct 2026 |
| Sep qtr 2022 | 5.2% | 20 Oct 2026 |
| Jun qtr 2022 | 3.3% | 20 Oct 2026 |
| Mar qtr 2022 | 3.0% | 20 Oct 2026 |
| Dec qtr 2021 | 2.3% | 20 Oct 2026 |
| Sep qtr 2021 | 1.9% | 20 Oct 2026 |
| Jun qtr 2021 | 1.7% | 20 Oct 2026 |
| Mar qtr 2021 | 1.6% | 20 Oct 2026 |
| Dec qtr 2020 | 1.6% | 20 Oct 2026 |
Revisions
We record a revision when a value we already hold changes at the source. Tracking began on 20 Oct 2026, so revisions made before then are not shown, and figures are in the source's own units.
No revisions detected
No stored value has changed since tracking began.
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